kuuskytkolme wrote:I need to get my thoughts straight.
Fact 1: Sherlock just died.
Fact 2: DanielH didn't aknowledge Alphabeta's suspicion on him on the following morning, I had to ask about it.
Fact 3: Alphabeta didn't want to kill DanielH the previous day.
Fact 4: Alphabeta claimed that there are people who can't vote DanielH because he is Chelsea.
Fact 5: Alphabeta claimed Shoal is one of these people.
Fact 1 happening at the same time as this switch could be a coincidence, but the whole thing feels a little iffy. On the other hand if Alphabeta was a mafia that tried to get just anyone else out, why DanielH, Fact 3 doesn't fit? If Alphabeta is mafia, he could have just night killed DanielH last/next night. If DanielH was a protective role who couldn't be killed, why woudln't he claim that?
Facts 2 and 3 made me assume yesterday that Alphabeta and DanielH had some kind of contact during the night, because they would have coordinated a staged intra-mafia spat better instead of just dropping it immediately. I didn't think of a cult, although I should have, in hindsight.
Fact 4 is easy to test. Vote: DanielH. Due to fact 5 Shoal can wreck this whole theory, the only thing they need to do is to vote DanielH. Until that I'm going to assume Alphabeta won't lie about something that is so easily proven false.
There is nothing preventing me from typing
Vote: DanielH. I don't really wish to vote at to this time, because a lot happened last night while I was asleep and I'm not sure what to make of it all yet. I'm more suspicious of Alpha right now. I'm only voting to show that I am capable of doing so.
I think if there is a Chelsea then there's nothing wrong with the Chelsea group not voting to kill their own members during the daytime when they're sure that those members are not mafia. If they don't know who the mafia are any better than the rest of us, then they have a better chance of accidentally targetting the mafia during the daytime than people outside of the Chelsea group. Also, we don't know exactly what rules we're playing under, but according to the wiki,
http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Cult, sometimes when cult leaders accidentally try to recruit a mafia member during the night, the mafia member can shoot them automatically -- I'm not sure if that fits the flavour of Chelsea or not, though. But if we are playing under those rules, then we wouldn't need to worry about the Chelsea group acquiring a Chelsea-aligned mafia member.
I might have more thoughts later.