Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

[Alphabeta]

Okay, I'm awake now. I'm not too opposed to a random lynch because this time I am not Addy, but I think we should generate the random number soon enough that the victim has a chance to defend themself.

Alternatively, we lynch nemo consequentiae. We know perfectly well that Alicorn did it last time, but I like her. :P

[Tamien]

Curses, I waited so long hoping someone would take the 10th post on the bottom of last page, and right after I gave up on it, you wake up and post. Clearly I need to learn better patience.

I think with the RNG thing we've got going currently it should still give the victim two days to defend themselves? Cause 72 hour days and it should be coming up at midnight realtime.

[Kappa]

Welp

The RNG link everyone's been precommitting to now says 1

Vote: Aestrix

[Kappa]

Quoting my precommitment terms as a reminder:

I can be swayed from this commitment by persuasive strategic arguments (but they had better be hella persuasive because I strongly disbelieve in the idea that we could actually learn anything meaningful through conversation on day one unless somebody fucks up egregiously), and I can be swayed from voting for a particular specific person by mod-verified information about that person but not by any non-mod-backed claims they or anyone else might make about their in-game characteristics.

I suppose that in the very unlikely event that the gods declare a particular person to be some flavour of scum, I'll believe that too and switch my vote to them, but that would seem ludicrously anticlimactic especially for the first day.

[Tamien]

That was sooner than I expected. Damn; Aestrix was a useful player last game. Buuut, precommitments, I guess I'm voting Aestrix until such a time as I am no longer convinced that I should be voting Aestrix.

[pistachi0n]

I precommitted, so vote Aestrix

[futurevision]

Although I made no commitments, with the information we have now voting Aestrix is as good a choice as any.

[PlainDealingVillain]

There is no risk of triggering the night early, so I, too vote Aestrix.

Also, it was clearly meant to be.

I VOLUNTEER AS TRIBUTE!

[Alphabeta]

I'll vote Aestrix for now, I suppose.

[DanielH]

I made no commitments because this is my first post in the thread (I was busy most of the day, with a slight break but not enough to catch up on the thread).

Still, Aestrix seems like a better bet than anybody else, so I vote Aestrix too.

Tamien, the countdown looks correct to me.

I of course swear on my mother's grave that both this and the previous random number were actual legitimately generated random numbers

I’m fairly sure “graves” don’t exist in Elcenia, based on Ivan thinking he was in a weird rock garden. You are probably a dragon or an offworlder. Perhaps you’re Matilda, and your comment about nothing in the sandboxes being here was to throw us off track?

And, for anybody who cares:

More info about random.org

---

Random.org generates its numbers from atmospheric noise. There is no “seeding” or anything else you might have heard of for pseudo-random number generators. It has radios, they listen to random atmospheric noise, what we are getting is approximately static. Every day at around midnight UTC, they take a bunch of these random numbers (which they hadn’t used before) and put them in a file, and you can ask that they use one of these files instead of “live” atmospheric noise.

Because the numbers have not been generated before the midnight UTC date, there is no way to look at them ahead of time. Because there is no seeding or anything else, you can’t predict these numbers even if you learn all the relevant algorithms. You could theoretically locate where on Earth their radios are and broadcast your own signal to mess with them, but this would take a lot of effort and probably be easily detectable.

Most of this is from their FAQ and their page on pregenerated files.

EDIT: formatting