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Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 8:33 am
by pistachi0n
Suspicions:
Suspicions
I'm suspicious of Tau for his inactivity. Wolffreak has been less active too, but I'm less suspicious because he's new. He said a few things about the nature of RNGs when the thread first open, then said he was going to explicitly abstain from voting. I don't like explicit abstention It makes me think you're trying way too hard to not stand out. Granted, Tau didn't explicitly abstain in the end, when Aestrix said she was the traitor at the last minute, he changed his vote to no lynch.

I'm not bothered that he changed his vote to no lynch, it was a vote for the category that could get more votes than Aestrix. My problem is his unwillingness to cast a vote at all before something very obvious came up.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:01 am
by wolffreak567
I am new to this universe and don't have any previous experience with forums so my silence is mostly due to that. Also, I've got almost no free time so it's difficult for me to post during the day.

As far as suspicions are concerned, the only people that I don't find suspcious are MTC and Aestrix. I may provide a more detailed explanation later but this will have to do for now.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:11 am
by Kappa
wolffreak, the point of suspicion lists inside of spoiler boxes is that you don't read them until you have written your own suspicion list and you don't respond to them in the open until everyone has posted their own suspicion lists. That way we don't influence each other's suspicion as much. By publicly responding to other people's suspicions and publicly posting your suspicions, you are contravening this scheme. Why?

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:34 am
by Tulip
I'm having a lot more trouble coming up with worthwhile suspicions this time around; reading through the whole thread every day to find suspicious patterns is becoming increasingly impractical as the thread grows, and that was the method I used on day one. Does anyone have an alternate method which is less time-consuming and won't give results which are too much worse?

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:39 am
by Kappa
I keep notes in my spreadsheet, and every time someone does something that affects my suspicion of them, I make a note of it in the sheet and change the number that represents my suspicion of them.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:43 am
by wolffreak567
@Kappa I'm sorry for any problems that I may have caused. I will remember and attempt to not contribute to any schemes in the future if I survive long enough to participate further. I wasn't attempting to contribute to schemes, I'm simply really bad at determining what people are attempting to gain from information.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:43 am
by MTC
Suspicions
My main suspicions at the moment are fairly vague ones, easily overridden by anything more obviously suspicious. My main vague suspicions:
1. Those who haven’t posted listposts. (I don’t buy the “I’m not familiar enough with the canon” excuse, several acceptable workarounds to that have been suggested and/or used.)
2. Those who voted no lynch on day 1, especially if they never voted for anything else. (I’m firmly of the opinion that actually lynching someone on day 1 is beneficial to town.)
3. Those who didn’t vote on day 1 (similar reason to above).
These lists provide a few suspicious players, especially if I combine the criteria, so if nothing significant changes I plan to vote for a player who meets both of my first two criteria (obviously no‐one can meet all 3).


The above was all written before I looked into anyone’s spoiler boxes. Now that I have, I see that modrony has named me as the most suspicious. I will defend myself with a full role claim if it looks like I’ll need to. I’m also going to point out, modrony, that I specifically stated that I was trying not to present those two strategies as mutually exclusive (I may have referred to it in different terms, but I meant the same thing). The timing is an interesting coincidence that I didn’t notice before, and not something I can reasonably argue against, but as I said, I am willing make a full role claim to defend myself if I need to.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:55 am
by tau
Suspicions
I think I am most suspicious of modrony for their weird voting patterns at the end of the day yesterday, and PlainDealingVillian for making the strange "3 kills a cycle" pronouncement on day one -- though unless you count Aestrix this hasn't actually happened, and for continuing to not post much. And I'm also somewhat suspicious of Alphabeta for continuing to act in a rather strange manner even today, though BSS's claim is a bit of a strange thing to pull if it wasn't actually true, so Alpha is probably town. And I'm slightly suspicious of everyone who voted for Aestrix, because Aestrix told us to pay attention to the votes as though it meant something, and I think that Aestrix was likely telling us the truth.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 9:59 am
by Kappa
Sorry, wolffreak, I was unclear. By "contravening this scheme" I meant "acting in a way that interferes with and goes against this plan". And we seem to have mostly agreed that this plan is a really good idea. But it seems like you don't understand the plan very well.

Re: Elcenia Mafia Game Thread

Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 10:04 am
by BlueSkySprite
I've got a chemistry final today and need to actually study and finish my homework.
I might have time tomorrow to assemble and post suspicions. The spreadsheet thing is a good idea and I'll need to try it.
I probably won't have another chance to post today, sorry.